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Glen Bradford

Glen Bradford, known by some as the “Whiz Kid,” is the CEO of ARM Holdings LLC and the VP of China Growth Partners. He's pursuing an MBA at Purdue University and gained recognition by trading his entire tuition in the stock market as well as that of his sister and roomate. He intends to not lose money for his clients by buying the most undervalued companies that are making money and set to make more money that he can find. In March 2009, he was quoted for saying, "Uncertainty will certainly work for me." In February of 2010, he was quoted for saying "Risk comes from overpaying."
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CNO 80%

http://cms.ibj.com/ASPXPages/6iframes/FrontEndArticlesDetailPage.aspx?ArticleID=33499&NoFrame=1

JK,

Thanks a bundle. I’m thinking the same thing.

Glen

From: J.K. Wall [mailto:jwa
Sent: Tuesday, March 17, 2009 2:12 PM
To: Bradford, Glen Richard
Subject: RE: Conseco

Glen,

I’m no expert, but I give Conseco 80 percent odds that it avoids bankruptcy. I don’t see how it would make sense for anyone involved, including the senior lenders. It seems the company will do more reinsurance deals first (limiting profits but boosting capital) before the brass let the company go bankrupt.

For what that’s worth.

J.K.

—–Original Message—–
From: Bradford, Glen Richard [mailto:gbrad
Sent: Sat 3/14/2009 2:09 PM
To: J.K. Wall
Subject: Conseco

Hey JK,

If you had to put a probability on it, what do you think the probability
is that Conseco equity shareholders will make it through because the
company is able to write off less discontinued operating losses in 2009
and pay off the debt obligations to Bank of America? 50/50?

Glen Bradford

Purdue University

Masters in Business Administration

Bachelors in Industrial Engineering

School of Engineering Student Ambassador

www.glenbradford.com

CNO

24 Hour Watch… Haha, not really. But today’s the day!

Boom!

FUQI

looks good to me, not cheap enough, but really really close!

great stuff here.

GNPH, CNO

Buy list this week:

GNPH: selling less than cash-total liabilities, you’re a baboon not to buy this if you believe in their latest 10-Q

CNO: see my comments. http://seekingalpha.com/article/123633-conseco-inc-q4-2008-earnings-call-transcript

cyxn: my favorite next to ghii as far as otcbb’s go. watch those accounts recievables

chcg: again watch the a/r, a/p

opai: as baller as ghii, but not as much growth potential but hecka predictable growth of 27% and a P/E < 1… book value is huge too. plus check out the previous statement changes, this thing’s been generating $10M in cashflow over the past year as a $3M company

HOGS

Thanks for the heads up,

I am a fan of HOGS. I don’t own it, however, because there are other companies with more upside.

Glen

From: Mabel Zhang [mailto:Mabel.Zhang@CCGIR.com]
Sent: Thursday, March 12, 2009 6:06 PM
To: gbradfo
Subject: China’s No.4 Meat Processor Unveils $73-Million Expansion Plan

Hi, Glen,
China’s No.4 meat processor Zhongpin, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOGS) just announced a $73-million expansion plan to increase its annual production capacity for pork products by 21.5% to total 671,760 metric tons by 2010.

The company plans to construct two new plants in Tianjin and Henan to double its production capacity for prepared meat products, which offer higher margin, as well as to increase capacity for chilled and frozen pork products.

Despite the weak economy and soften CPI in China, Zhongpin expects continued strong demands for its healthy, clean and nutritious meat products from consumers in both metropolitan and rural markets.

A completed press release is attached below. Please feel free to contact me for media inquiries to Zhongpin management. Thank you.

Best regards,
Mabel Zhang 張貝
VP, Director of Asia Media Relations | CCG Investor Relations | 10960 Wilshire Blvd. Suite 2050 , Los Angeles , CA 90024 | (310) 954 1353 | mabel.zhang@ccgir.com | www.ccgir.com

Zhongpin to Increase and Streamline Production Capacity

– Increases Annual Prepared Meat Capacity by 133%

– Increases Annual Fruit and Vegetable Capacity by 14%

– Increases Annual Chilled and Frozen Pork Capacity by 9%

CHANGGE CITY, China, March 12 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ — Zhongpin Inc. (Nasdaq: HOGS) (“Zhongpin”), a leading meat and food processing company in the People’s Republic of China (“PRC”), today provided an update on its plan to increase and streamline its production capacity. Zhongpin will begin construction starting in April 2009 of a pork production facility in Tianjin City and a prepared meat facility in Changge City, Henan Province.

The new pork production facility, located in the Jinghai Economic Technical Development Area in Tianjin City, will increase total annual pork production capacity by 136,000 metric tons. The facility will be designed to process 100,000 metric tons of chilled and frozen pork products annually, of which 70% will be dedicated to chilled pork and 30% to frozen pork. The facility will also include annual production capacity of 36,000 metric tons of prepared meat products. This facility is expected to cost $52 million, excluding the investment in land use rights, and will be equipped mostly with state-of-the-art, imported equipment and machinery.

The construction of the new Tianjin facility will also include a new warehouse and distribution center, and a R&D center, which will improve Zhongpin’s product portfolio, support cold chain logistics and effectively accommodate the newly added production capacity by facilitating efficient distribution. The production lines for chilled and frozen pork products are expected to come online at the end of the first quarter of 2010 and will achieve its target utilization rate at the end of the third quarter of 2010. The prepared meat production line and the new warehouse and distribution center are expected to come online by the end of the second quarter of 2010 and will achieve its target utilization rate at the end of the fourth quarter of 2010. Without causing any interruption to its current marketing and distribution program, Zhongpin intends to terminate its lease at the existing Tianjin City facility after production at the new facility begins. With the addition of the new facility and closure of the existing facility in Tianjin City, Zhongpin’s annual chilled and frozen pork production capacity will increase by 9%, reaching 545,760 metric tons from the current 498,760 metric tons.

Zhongpin’s new prepared meat facility, located in Zhongpin’s Industrial Park in Changge City, Henan Province, will increase annual prepared meat production capacity by 36,000 metric tons. The construction of this facility is expected to cost $21 million and it will be equipped with advanced equipment and machinery imported from top-tier international manufacturers. The facility will produce quick-freeze sausages and other prepared meat products catering to varying consumer tastes. The construction of the facility is expected to be completed and commence production by the end of the fourth quarter of 2009. The new facility is expected to achieve its target utilization rate by the end of the second quarter of 2010. With the additional prepared meat production capacity from the new Tianjin and Changge City facilities, Zhongpin’s annual prepared meat products capacity will increase by 133% to 126,000 metric tons from the current 54,000 metric tons.

Zhongpin recently completed the construction of its fruit and vegetable processing facility in Changge City, Henan Province, adding an annual production capacity of 30,000 metric tons. Zhongpin expects to begin production by the end of March 2009 and plans to discontinue outsourcing from its OEM partners which provide an annual production capacity of 2,880 metric tons, and will also transfer the existing fruit and vegetable production at Zhongpin’s Industrial Park, which has an annual production capacity of 12,600 metric tons, to the newly-built fruit and vegetable processing facility. The Board of Directors of Zhongpin approved the closure and disposal plan of Yanling facility in Henan Province which has an annual fruit and vegetable production capacity of 10,800 metric tons. Due to the urban expansion in Yanling City and the latest environment protection restrictions imposed by the China Environment Protection Agency, maintaining fruit and vegetable production operations in Yanling City will require a huge amount of incremental investments. All fruit and vegetable production will be gradually consolidated into the new production facility as it comes online. With the additional capacity from the new facility and further consolidation of existing capacity, Zhongpin’s annual fruit and vegetable production capacity will increase 14% to 30,000 metric tons from the current 26,280 metric tons.

“We are pleased to announce the next stage of our capacity expansion plan. While pork consumption has been temporarily impacted by the economic slowdown in China, our mid to long-term outlook for China’s pork industry remains favorable. Government mandates designed to modernize the pork industry have hastened the transition from traditional wet markets to modern dry markets and we are optimistic that the RMB 4 trillion economic stimulus package will have a positive impact on the economy in the latter half of 2009,” commented by Mr. Xianfu Zhu, Chairman of the Board and CEO of Zhongpin. “We are confident in our ability to bring these new facilities online as planned, quickly ramp up production and continue to grow our business. The new plant in Tianjin City will facilitate our strategic penetration into Northern China, which is one of our primary target markets. Our new prepared meat facility will be located in Henan Province to effectively utilize the advanced R&D capabilities at our headquarters. Our aggressive expansion plans focus on the growth of our prepared meat products line as it offers attractive margins and will help optimize our product mix. As a profitable supplement to our product portfolio, our fruits and vegetables product line will continue to positively contribute to our future growth. We strongly believe that our current cash position combined with our available lines of credit will be sufficient to support our growth strategy.”

About Zhongpin

Zhongpin is a meat and food processing company that specializes in pork and pork products, and fruits and vegetables, in the PRC. Its distribution network in the PRC spans 24 provinces and includes over
2,995 retail outlets. Zhongpin’s export markets include the European Union, Eastern Europe, Russia, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea. For more information, contact CCG Investor Relations directly or go to Zhongpin’s website at http://www.zpfood.com .

Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

Certain statements in this press release and oral statements made by Zhongpin on its conference call in relation to this release constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include, without limitation, statements regarding our ability to build and commence the new production facilities according to the timeline described, expectations of future consumer demand, ability to prepare the Company for growth, predictions and guidance relating to the Company’s future financial performance. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends that we believe may affect our financial condition, results of operations, business strategy and financial needs, but these projections also involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, which may include, but are not limited to, such factors as, unanticipated changes in product demand, interruptions in the supply of live pigs/raw pork, downturns in the Chinese economy, delivery delays, freezer facility malfunctions, poor performance of the retail distribution network, changes in applicable regulations, and other information detailed from time to time in the Company’s filings and future filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. You are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements herein and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements, which are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. The forward-looking statements made herein speak only as of the date of this press release and the Company undertakes no duty to update any forward-looking statement to conform the statement to actual results or changes in the Company’s expectations.

FAS

I’m buying into financials tomorrow, using FAS; anticipating the uptick rule to come back and some sort of dealings with mark to market changing the entire ballgame in favor of the long term investor.

9 Top China Plays

9 Top China Plays
by
Glen Bradford

The financial crisis has sent the markets plummeting. For those who believe that companies that make more money than other companies should be priced higher than other companies, boy do I have some bargain bin deals for you. In the past 6 months, I’ve hand sorted through over 5000 companies. The steals are all in China.

1. China Architectural Engineering (NASD: CAEI) specializes in high-end curtain wall systems (including glass, stone and metal curtain walls), roofing systems, steel construction systems, eco-energy saving building conservation systems and related products, for public works and commercial real estate projects. It just got added to the Halter USX China Index. Trading at $37.24M with a book value of $78.2M for a company that does specialty construction projects looks like a steal, especially when they made $22.6M in the first 9 quarters of 2008. They lowered their guidance for Q4 2008 and they are eating some cost overrun costs. Recent news includes that they were awarded two new contracts for projects valued at $80 million in Dubai and Singapore. The Company also reported that its project backlog has increased to a new record of $245M.

2. China Yongxin Pharmaceuticals (OTC: CYXN) has three segments: the wholesale of pharmaceuticals and other medical-related products, the operation of retail drugstores, and the cultivation, processing of ginseng. Currently trading at $2.19M when they made $4.0M in the first 3 quarters of 2008 and $2.6M in the first 3 quarters of 2007 is absurd. Not to mention that the book value is $12.5M. Yongxin also just put up a new, more flashy website. The investor message boards were very concerned when their old website went down. I sat by and let the people who don’t understand website development sell out. Same thing happened with New Dragon Asia (NWD).

3. New Dragon Asia (OTC: NWD) is engaged in the milling, sale and distribution of flour and related products, including instant noodles and soybean-derived products, to retail and wholesale customers throughout China. I find trading at $9.14M with a book value of $74M mildly entertaining. The company made $14.12M in 2008. In my opinion, investors are shaky because their operating margins got squeezed by the ridiculous expansion in commodity prices. Good news, the whole bubble collapsed. As I see it, this is an opportunity for the company to make some huge numbers in 2009, not to mention that they’ve been religious about growing revenues over the past 5 years with high predictability. Their website crashed about a month ago and the stock price hit the chopping block, getting cut more than just in half. Look for the catalyst at $0.83 of the Halter USX China Index.

4. Gold Horse International (OTC: GHII) is principally engaged in three business sectors in China: construction, residential and commercial real estate development, and management and operation of the Inner Mongolia Jin Ma Hotel. Top line revenue guidance for 2009 is $90M and the company is priced at $2.63M. In 2008, they made $4.53M on revenues of $66.91M. The book value is about $25M. Gold Horse is located in Hohhot, China; a city that has been growing at 23.5% for the past 7 years. Gold Horse has contracted to build a wind power manufacturing plant. This company is located in the middle of china, not on the outskirts where the exports have fallen and hurt the economy. There are two issues that I see. The first is that their cash is low and are burning through cash to maintain operations. The second is that there are some big shareholders that look to be slowly selling the stock down.

5. Orsus Xelent Technologies (AMEX: ORS) is engaged in the business of designing, manufacturing and distributing cellular phones for retail and wholesale distribution. What we have here is a company trading at $7.44M that has a book value of $42.4M. In the last 9 months they made $6.34M. According to their annuals, they are trying to advance along with technology into the 3G markets and are targeting China’s rural population. They grew 16% in 2008 even with the economic crisis slowing them down in the end of the year.

6. Lotus Pharmaceuticals (OTC: LTUS) manufactures branded drugs and distributes them along with products produced by third-party manufacturers throughout China. Lotus just came out with a new website in the last week. Trading at $8.06M with a book value of $38.3M and making $6.3M in the first 9-months of 2008 makes Lotus extremely attractive. There is downside for the risk-averse. Lotus East has historically funded its capital expenditures from their working capital and has advised us that they believe this capital is sufficient for their current needs. Lotus East has contractual commitments for approximately $65.5 million related to a Technology Transfer Agreement and the construction of the new manufacturing facility. If Lotus East is not successful in obtaining all of the funding necessary to complete the construction of the new facility, it would lose the approximately $17,219,000 spent to date, including the $17,000,000 for the deposit on the land use rights which is non-refundable. That said, it’s still trading below book value and has several huge projects in the works setting the stage for huge growth potential.

7. China Sun Group High Tech (OTC: CSGH) mainly engages in the production and sales of cobaltosic oxide and lithium cobalt oxide, both anode materials used in lithium ion rechargeable batteries in the People’s Republic of China. Trading at $12.29M with a book value of $27.45M with a 2008 annual net income of $6.74M, I immediately started digging deeper into the growth potential of this company. Not to mention that every quarter in 2008 trounced the comparable quarter in 2007. I don’t really mind reading headlines like: Quarterly Revenue Up 42% to $7.6 Million; Net Income Increases 145% to $1.8 Million. You can’t find headlines like those with your average run of the mill blue chip.

8. Asia Cork (OTC: AKRK) is a rapidly growing leader in the development, manufacturing and marketing of cork-based building materials. Asia Cork is currently valued at $4.64M, even though it has a book value of $17.1M and pulled down $2.54M of profit in the first 3 Quarters of 2008. In my conversations with flooring experts, Cork seems to be trending back into fashion as a “green” alternative. Another set of great headlines: Asia Cork Q3 ’08 Revenue Up 117% to $8.96M; Net Income Up 220% to $1.40M. The issue here is the daily volumes are low and Asia Cork isn’t off it’s 52-week high as much as I’d like it to be.

9. China Kangtai Cactus Bio-Tech (OTC:CKGT) is principally engaged in the production, research and development (R&D), sales and marketing of products derived from cacti. Again, I see a big deal since the company is trading at $3.93M with a book value of $22.69M and a yearly net income of $2.1M including a -1.09M adjustment in Q1 2008. The downside here is that there are rumors that the market maker, NITE, has a lot of excess shares. For the three months ended September 30, 2008, revenues increased by $2,229,213 or 56.4% to $6,184,685 from $3,955,472 in the corresponding period of the prior year. The increase in revenues was attributable to the fact that the Company is continuing to expand its productions and distribution, and its products are better accepted by the Chinese market customers.

In an environment like this, where game theory is prevailing, there’s no question in my mind that a lot of these companies are likely to become more attractive in the short term. The long term tradeoffs and value price tradeoffs warrant further investigation. Price is what you pay and value is what you get.

Disclaimer: I own NWD, GHII, CAEI, ORS, and LTUS in my accounts and the accounts I manage. I am working around Ameritrade to acquire exposure to CYXN and AKRK. I also plan on purchasing the other companies mentioned in this article.

AOB CRUSH!

aob will crush the market monday… with 4th quarter numbers so large your head will spin

New additions

Buy: ghii, nwd, ors, caei, ltus, csgh, ckgt, akrk, cyxn, gnph Watch: cyxi, snen

CYXN

Gary,

Good find! I have come across it. I’ve kind of gone “underground” lately.

http://www.glenbradford.com/blog/2009/02/get-em-while-theyre-hot.html

I’ve been constantly looking for ways to cut time in finding the most undervalued companies.

Lately, social networking with other people who do the same thing is saving me a lot of time.

I’m currently moderating a board for CYXN (haven’t updated it yet, short on time). This next week is finals week for me.

But, the boards I moderate I will be updating as soon as possible.

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=5800

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/profile.asp?user=143390

That said, I haven’t written anything lately because the audiences that read stock articles aren’t really the audiences that would be willing to buy into these kind of ideas. That would be a failing grade in marketing if I was going to continue. Not to mention that recommending penny stocks is in itself a highly frowned upon activity.

Glen Bradford
Purdue University
Masters in Business Administration
Bachelors in Industrial Engineering
School of Engineering Student Ambassador

www.glenbradford.com

From: Gary Rohland [mailto:grohla
Sent: Saturday, February 28, 2009 11:43 AM
To: gbrad
Subject: Glen- here’s an undervalued China Micro for you

Hi Glen,

I’ve read some of your Seeking Alpha articles with interest. I believe you have a knack for finding good stocks in the Chinese microcap sector and hold some of the stocks you have covered, and am wondering what your opinion is on one you may or may not be aware of: China Yongxin Pharma (CYXN.OB)

You might want to kick the tires on this one if you like fast growers that are undiscovered.

PE of well below 1
trading about .08-.10/share here
ttm income/share .18
due to report 10K in April- it should be solid as most of their business is done in Q4 due to seasonality.

website:

http://www.yongxinchina.com/index.html

investor fact sheet/presentation:
http://www.yongxinchina.com/CYXN_0908_FactSheet.pdf

filings:
http://yahoo.brand.edgar-online.com/default.aspx?cik=1087848

disclosure- I am long CYXN as of this week, and am in the process of entering (slowly) accumulating.

Thought you might like it also.

Finally, I would like to add that you have an impressive resume and are clearly going places!

Cheers,

Gary Rohland
Tampa, FL

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